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The Infocast Solar + Wind Finance & Investment Summit, held
on March 12, 2024, featured a distinguished panel, moderated by
Linklaters’ tax partner Michael Rodgers, to discuss the current trends
and future outlook of the tax equity market. The panel included
Jack Cargas of Bank of America, Bryan Didier of Monarch Private
Capital, Ben Jacoby of Paragon Energy Capital, Rubiao Song of JP
Morgan, and Colin Witherspoon of US Bank.
Here are the key insights from the session:
- 2023 Market Overview: In 2023, tax equity
investments rose significantly to $20-21 billion, marking a pivotal
year for the market. Following the release of Internal Revenue
Service’s (IRS) guidance on tax credit transferability under
the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) in June 2023, the market
saw a significant increase in tax credit transfer transactions,
with total estimated value between $5 billion to $9 billion. This
surge reflects the transferability market’s effectiveness in
addressing the increased demand for tax equity investments prompted
by the expanded tax credit framework, and with total traditional
tax equity investment expected to increase at a moderate pace, the
surge is expected to continue well into the future, with recent
projections showing a demand that could top out at over $80 billion
within the next 8 years, with tax credit transfer transactions
emerging as the primary means of effecting such market
expansion. - Transferability’s Role: The ability to
transfer tax credits has been transformative, broadening the tax
equity market and reducing barriers to entry. Panelists noted that
nearly all recent tax equity transactions incorporate direct
transfer or transferability of tax credits in some manner. With the
IRS set to audit 2023 transactions, there is anticipation around
how these developments might influence future regulations on
transferability. - Hybrid Tax Equity Structures: ‘T-flip’
and other hybrid structures are gaining ground as adaptable
alternatives to the traditional tax equity model, aligning with
both investment tax credit (ITC) and production tax credit (PTC)
incentives. While the demand for standard partnership structures
remains robust, developers are urged to deliberate on the
suitability and financial implications of adopting hybrid
structures, which on the one hand may expand the market of
potential buyers but on the other handmay also tend to introduce
additional complexities such as minority investor rights and
heightened diligence requirements. - Looking Ahead: The tax equity market is poised
for an era of innovation and expansion. Initiatives like Bank of
America’s launch of a tax credit transfer desk in 2023
exemplify the shifting dynamics within tax equity transactions. The
introduction of ‘adders’ for IRA tax credits is also
reshaping the investment landscape, subject to meeting challenges
relating to implementation and the ability of sponsors to fulfill
eligibility criteria. As the industry anticipates more detailed
guidance regarding the IRA, the potential for leveraging the
IRA’s full capacity remains high.
The discussion underscored the tax equity market’s
progressive transformation, with evolving strategies and structures
anticipated to drive the future of energy investments. Linklaters
remains dedicated to offering strategic guidance to our clients
through this dynamic evolution of the market.
The content of this article is intended to provide a general
guide to the subject matter. Specialist advice should be sought
about your specific circumstances.
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